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Monaco 1–3 Lyon

France 1 on 3 January 2026. Lyon won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Monaco the 52% favourite, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE 1 Sat 3 Jan · 17:00
Monaco
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Lyon
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
52%
Draw
16%
Away
32%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Monaco
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Lyon
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Monaco 2W in last 2 at home
  • Lyon 4W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Monaco strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Monaco's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 74%