Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Portugal 1 on 18 April 2026. Nacional won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Alverca the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL 1 Sat 18 Apr · 16:30

Nacional

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Alverca

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

34%

Draw

15%

Away

51%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Nacional

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

33%

Alverca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

27%

KEY SIGNALS

Nacional 2W in last 3 at home
Alverca 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Nacional's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Alverca's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 68%

Nacional 1–0 Alverca

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