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Napoli 1–0 Milan

Italy Serie A on 6 April 2026. Napoli won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Napoli the 57% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ITALY SERIE A Mon 6 Apr · 20:45
Napoli
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Milan
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
57%
Draw
17%
Away
26%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Napoli
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
47%
Milan
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Napoli 2W in last 2 at home
  • Milan 3W in last 5
  • Napoli 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Milan strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Napoli's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Napoli's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 74%