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Navalcarnero 2–1 Elche CF Ilicitano

Spain Segunda Div. RFEF Gr.5 on 15 March 2026. Navalcarnero won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Elche CF Ilicitano the 41% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN SEGUNDA DIV. RFEF GR.5 Sun 15 Mar · 12:00
Navalcarnero
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Elche CF Ilicitano
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
37%
Draw
22%
Away
41%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Navalcarnero
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
27%
Elche CF Ilicitano
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Navalcarnero 2W in last 2 at home
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Navalcarnero O2.5 53% last 15, Elche CF Ilicitano O2.5 47% last 15).
Confidence: 57%