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Netherlands 1–1 Germany

UEFA Nations League A on 24 September 2026. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Netherlands the 40% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Thu 24 Sep · 20:45
Netherlands
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Germany
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
40%
Draw
25%
Away
35%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Netherlands
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
20%
Germany
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Germany 3W in last 5
  • Netherlands 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Germany 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Germany's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Germany's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 61%