Noroeste 4–3 Comercial SP

Brazil Paulista Cup on 22 August 2026. Noroeste won at home, 4–3. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 44%, so this one went against the model.

BRAZIL PAULISTA CUP Sat 22 Aug · 20:00

Noroeste

HOME

RESULT

4 - 3

Comercial SP

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

40%

Draw

44%

Away

16%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Noroeste

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

33%

WIN%

33%

Comercial SP

Last 5 Games

O2.5

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

10%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Comercial SP strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Clean sheet potential in this matchup.

Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Noroeste O2.5 33% last 15, Comercial SP O2.5 20% last 15).

Confidence: 57%

Noroeste 4–3 Comercial SP

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