Nottingham Forest 1–0 Porto

Europa League on 16 April 2026. Nottingham Forest won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Porto the 72% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA LEAGUE Thu 16 Apr · 21:00

Nottingham Forest

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Porto

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

15%

Draw

13%

Away

72%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

27%

Porto

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

KEY SIGNALS

Porto 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Nottingham Forest strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Porto look the value pick on the road.

Porto's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 72%

Nottingham Forest 1–0 Porto

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