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NSI Runavik 2–2 Lugano

Europa Conference League Qual. on 13 August 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Lugano the 48% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE QUAL. Thu 13 Aug · 19:30
NSI Runavik
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Lugano
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
13%
Draw
39%
Away
48%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
NSI Runavik
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
53%
Lugano
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
73%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Lugano 2W in last 2 at away
  • Lugano 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Lugano strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
Lugano's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Lugano's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 62%