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Numancia 0–1 Atl. Astorga

Spain Segunda Div. RFEF Gr.1 on 15 March 2026. Atl. Astorga won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Numancia the 38% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN SEGUNDA DIV. RFEF GR.1 Sun 15 Mar · 17:00
Numancia
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
38%
Draw
25%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Numancia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
Atl. Astorga
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Numancia 2W in last 2 at home
  • Atl. Astorga 4W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Atl. Astorga strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Atl. Astorga's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.
Confidence: 50%