Partick Thistle 1–0 Ayr United
Scotland Championship on 5 September 2026. Partick Thistle won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 46%, so this one went against the model.
SCOTLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
Sat 5 Sep · 16:00
Partick Thistle
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Ayr United
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
Draw
Away
LAST 5
D
↕0
DRAW
0-0
vs Queen's Park
29 Aug
Home
◆ 0 goals
D
↕2
DRAW
1-1
vs Inverness CT
21 Aug
Away
◆ 2 goals
L
↓1
LOSS
1-0
vs Hibernian
16 Aug
Away
▼ 1 goal
W
↑2
WIN
2-0
vs Livingston
07 Aug
Home
▲ 2 goals
W
↑1
WIN
0-1
vs Morton
01 Aug
Away
▲ 1 goal
LAST 5
D
↕2
DRAW
1-1
vs Morton
29 Aug
Home
◆ 2 goals
L
↓2
LOSS
2-0
vs Raith Rovers
22 Aug
Away
▼ 2 goals
L
↓5
LOSS
3-2
vs Kilmarnock
14 Aug
Away
▼ 5 goals
D
↕2
DRAW
1-1
vs Dunfermline
08 Aug
Away
◆ 2 goals
W
↑2
WIN
2-0
vs Arbroath
01 Aug
Home
▲ 2 goals
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Partick Thistle
Last 5 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Ayr United
Last 5 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
WIN%
KEY SIGNALS
- Partick Thistle strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Partick Thistle O2.5 27% last 15, Ayr United O2.5 47% last 15).
Confidence: 55%