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Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting

Uruguay 1 on 5 May 2026. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Penarol the 53% favourite, so this one went against the model.

URUGUAY 1 Tue 5 May · 00:30
Penarol
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
53%
Draw
30%
Away
22%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Penarol
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Defensor Sporting
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Penarol O2.5 40% last 15, Defensor Sporting O2.5 53% last 15).
Confidence: 59%