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Penarol 2–2 Nacional M.

Uruguay 1 on 23 November 2025. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Penarol the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

URUGUAY 1 Sun 23 Nov · 20:45
Penarol
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Nacional M.
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
44%
Draw
23%
Away
34%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Penarol
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
73%
Nacional M.
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Penarol 2W in last 2 at home
  • Penarol strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Nacional M. strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Penarol's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 59%