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Plymouth 1–2 Bolton

England League 1 on 3 April 2026. Bolton won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Plymouth the 49% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND LEAGUE 1 Fri 3 Apr · 16:00
Plymouth
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Bolton
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
49%
Draw
19%
Away
32%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Plymouth
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
60%
Bolton
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Plymouth 3W in last 3 at home
  • Plymouth 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Plymouth strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Plymouth's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Plymouth's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 65%