PSG 5–4 Bayern München

Champions League on 28 April 2026. PSG won at home, 5–4. Our pre-match analysis made Bayern München the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Tue 28 Apr · 21:00

PSG

HOME

RESULT

5 - 4

Bayern München

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

37%

Draw

14%

Away

51%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

PSG

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

73%

Bayern München

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

100%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

90%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

87%

WIN%

93%

KEY SIGNALS

PSG 2W in last 3 at home
Bayern München 3W in last 3 at away
Bayern München 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

PSG's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Bayern München's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 82%

PSG 5–4 Bayern München

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