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PSG 2–2 Marseille

France Super Cup on 8 January 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made PSG the 79% favourite, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE SUPER CUP Thu 8 Jan · 19:00
PSG
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Marseille
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
79%
Draw
10%
Away
12%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
PSG
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
67%
Marseille
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • PSG 3W in last 5
  • Marseille 2W in last 3 at away
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • PSG strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Tight encounter with PSG slight edge at home.
PSG's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 79%