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Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Samsunspor

Europa Conference League on 19 March 2026. Samsunspor won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Rayo Vallecano the 41% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE Thu 19 Mar · 21:00
Rayo Vallecano
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Samsunspor
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
41%
Draw
23%
Away
36%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Rayo Vallecano
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
33%
Samsunspor
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Rayo Vallecano strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Rayo Vallecano O2.5 60% last 15, Samsunspor O2.5 47% last 15).
Confidence: 64%