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Real Aviles 1–2 Lugo

Spain Primera Div. RFEF Gr.1 on 25 January 2026. Lugo won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Real Aviles the 46% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN PRIMERA DIV. RFEF GR.1 Sun 25 Jan · 18:15
Real Aviles
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Lugo
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
26%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Real Aviles
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
40%
Lugo
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
27%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Lugo 3W in last 5
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Lugo strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Lugo's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.
Confidence: 56%