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Rennes 1–2 Lille

France 1 on 15 March 2026. Lille won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Rennes the 43% favourite, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE 1 Sun 15 Mar · 20:45
Rennes
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Lille
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
43%
Draw
19%
Away
38%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Rennes
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
60%
Lille
Last 5 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
27%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Rennes 2W in last 2 at home
  • Lille 2W in last 2 at away
  • Rennes 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Rennes's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Rennes's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 61%