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Roma 2–1 Atalanta

Italy Serie A on 5 September 2026. Roma won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 50%, so this one went against the model.

ITALY SERIE A Sat 5 Sep · 20:45
Roma
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Atalanta
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
31%
Draw
50%
Away
19%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Roma
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
87%
WIN%
60%
Atalanta
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Roma 3W in last 5
  • Atalanta 4W in last 5
  • Roma 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Atalanta strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Roma's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Roma's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.
Confidence: 71%