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Roma 0–1 Napoli

Italy Serie A on 30 November 2025. Napoli won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Roma the 45% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ITALY SERIE A Sun 30 Nov · 20:45
Roma
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Napoli
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
45%
Draw
18%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Roma
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
67%
Napoli
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Roma 3W in last 3 at home
  • Roma 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Napoli strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Roma's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Roma's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 70%