Salzburg 1–0 Paphos

Europa League Qual. on 6 August 2026. Salzburg won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 48%, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA LEAGUE QUAL. Thu 6 Aug · 19:00

Salzburg

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Paphos

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

25%

Draw

48%

Away

27%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Salzburg

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

47%

Paphos

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Salzburg 2W in last 3 at home
Salzburg 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected
Salzburg strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Salzburg's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Salzburg's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.

Confidence: 92%

Salzburg 1–0 Paphos

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