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Sampaio Correa FE 1–3 Nova Iguacu

Brazil Carioca on 15 January 2026. Nova Iguacu won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Sampaio Correa FE the 53% favourite, so this one went against the model.

BRAZIL CARIOCA Thu 15 Jan · 21:00
Sampaio Correa FE
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Nova Iguacu
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
LAST 5
W
↑6
 W
↑3
 W
↑3
 D
↕0
 W
↑4
LAST 5
D
↕2
 D
↕2
 W
↑1
 D
↕0
 D
↕2
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Sampaio Correa FE
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
64%
WIN%
55%
Nova Iguacu
Last 5 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
27%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Sampaio Correa FE 3W in last 3 at home
  • Sampaio Correa FE 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Sampaio Correa FE strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Nova Iguacu strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Sampaio Correa FE's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Sampaio Correa FE's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 55%