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Sheffield Utd 3–4 Mansfield

England FA Cup on 11 January 2026. Mansfield won away from home, 4–3. Our pre-match analysis made Sheffield Utd the 46% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA CUP Sun 11 Jan · 15:30
Sheffield Utd
HOME
RESULT
3 - 4
Mansfield
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
46%
Draw
19%
Away
35%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Sheffield Utd
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
53%
Mansfield
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Sheffield Utd 2W in last 2 at home
  • Mansfield 2W in last 3 at away
  • Sheffield Utd 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Mansfield strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Sheffield Utd's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Sheffield Utd's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 65%