Sparta P. 2–1 Lyon

Champions League Qual. on 4 August 2026. Sparta P. won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 45%, so this one went against the model.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE QUAL. Tue 4 Aug · 20:00

Sparta P.

HOME

RESULT

2 - 1

Lyon

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

36%

Draw

45%

Away

20%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Sparta P.

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

60%

Lyon

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Sparta P. 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Lyon 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Lyon's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 57%

Sparta P. 2–1 Lyon

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