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Sporting Gijon 1–2 Ceuta

Spain La Liga 2 on 3 May 2026. Ceuta won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Sporting Gijon the 45% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN LA LIGA 2 Sun 3 May · 16:15
Sporting Gijon
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Ceuta
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Sporting Gijon
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
33%
Ceuta
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Sporting Gijon 2W in last 2 at home
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Sporting Gijon O2.5 47% last 15, Ceuta O2.5 67% last 15).
Confidence: 59%