Sporting L. 1–2 Guimaraes

Portugal League Cup on 6 January 2026. Guimaraes won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Sporting L. the 72% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL LEAGUE CUP Tue 6 Jan · 21:00

Sporting L.

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Guimaraes

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

72%

Draw

12%

Away

16%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Sporting L.

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

67%

Guimaraes

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

47%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Sporting L. 2W in last 2 at home
Sporting L. 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected
Sporting L. strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Tight encounter with Sporting L. slight edge at home.

Sporting L.'s strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Sporting L.'s 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 72%

Sporting L. 1–2 Guimaraes

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