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St. Etienne 3–1 Montpellier

France 2 on 5 September 2026. St. Etienne won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 48%, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE 2 Sat 5 Sep · 20:00
St. Etienne
HOME
RESULT
3 - 1
Montpellier
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
32%
Draw
48%
Away
19%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
St. Etienne
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
47%
Montpellier
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • St. Etienne 3W in last 3 at home
  • Montpellier 3W in last 5
  • St. Etienne 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Both teams expected to find the net.
St. Etienne's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. St. Etienne's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 53%