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St. Gallen 2–1 Benfica

Europa League Qual. on 23 July 2026. St. Gallen won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Benfica the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA LEAGUE QUAL. Thu 23 Jul · 20:00
St. Gallen
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Benfica
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
33%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
St. Gallen
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
53%
Benfica
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • St. Gallen 3W in last 5
  • St. Gallen 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Benfica 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Both teams expected to find the net.
St. Gallen's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Benfica's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 72%