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Stoke 1–3 Millwall

England Championship on 21 April 2026. Millwall won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Stoke the 43% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Tue 21 Apr · 20:45
Stoke
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Millwall
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
43%
Draw
23%
Away
34%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Stoke
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
20%
Millwall
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Millwall strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Stoke O2.5 47% last 15, Millwall O2.5 53% last 15).
Confidence: 61%