Sumqayıt 3–4 Qarabag

Azerbaijan 1 on 22 May 2026. Qarabag won away from home, 4–3. Our pre-match analysis made Qarabag the 51% favourite, and that is how it played out.

AZERBAIJAN 1 Fri 22 May · 17:30

Sumqayıt

HOME

RESULT

3 - 4

Qarabag

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

13%

Draw

36%

Away

51%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Sumqayıt

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

20%

Qarabag

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Sumqayıt 2W in last 2 at home
Qarabag 3W in last 5
Qarabag 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Sumqayıt's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Qarabag's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 72%

Sumqayıt 3–4 Qarabag

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