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Thun 0–1 Lugano

Switzerland 1 on 25 April 2026. Lugano won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Thun the 47% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SWITZERLAND 1 Sat 25 Apr · 20:30
Thun
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Lugano
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
47%
Draw
18%
Away
35%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Thun
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
87%
WIN%
80%
Lugano
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Thun 2W in last 2 at home
  • Thun 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Thun's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Thun's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 71%