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Tlaxcala 1–0 Tepatitlan de Morelos

Mexico 2 on 1 March 2026. Tlaxcala won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Tepatitlan de Morelos the 38% favourite, so this one went against the model.

MEXICO 2 Sun 1 Mar · 23:00
Tlaxcala
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Tlaxcala
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
33%
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Tlaxcala 3W in last 3 at home
  • Tepatitlan de Morelos 3W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Tepatitlan de Morelos strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Tlaxcala's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 60%