Toluca 3–1 Juarez

Mexico 1 on 9 March 2026. Toluca won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Toluca the 56% favourite, and that is how it played out.

MEXICO 1 Mon 9 Mar · 00:00

Toluca

HOME

RESULT

3 - 1

Juarez

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

56%

Draw

23%

Away

21%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Toluca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

60%

Juarez

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

33%

KEY SIGNALS

Toluca 2W in last 3 at home
Juarez 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Toluca strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Toluca's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Juarez's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 67%

Toluca 3–1 Juarez

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