Toluca 2–0 Monterrey

CONCACAF Leagues Cup on 7 September 2026. Toluca won at home, 2–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 45%, so this one went against the model.

CONCACAF LEAGUES CUP Mon 7 Sep · 03:15

Toluca

HOME

RESULT

2 - 0

Monterrey

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

38%

Draw

45%

Away

17%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Toluca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

47%

WIN%

53%

Monterrey

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Toluca 3W in last 3 at home
Monterrey 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Toluca strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Toluca's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Monterrey's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.

Confidence: 61%

Toluca 2–0 Monterrey

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