Toluca 0–1 Pachuca

Mexico 1 on 4 May 2026. Pachuca won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Toluca the 52% favourite, so this one went against the model.

MEXICO 1 Mon 4 May · 03:15

Toluca

HOME

RESULT

0 - 1

Pachuca

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

52%

Draw

20%

Away

28%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Toluca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

47%

Pachuca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Pachuca 2W in last 3 at away
Toluca 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Pachuca 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Pachuca's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Pachuca's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 70%

Toluca 0–1 Pachuca

More matches

Recent results in Mexico 1