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Tondela 3–1 Arouca

Portugal 1 on 3 January 2026. Tondela won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Arouca the 39% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL 1 Sat 3 Jan · 16:30
Tondela
HOME
RESULT
3 - 1
Arouca
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
39%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Tondela
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Arouca
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Tondela O2.5 60% last 15, Arouca O2.5 60% last 15).
Confidence: 60%