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Troyes 2–4 Lens

France Cup on 4 February 2026. Lens won away from home, 4–2. Our pre-match analysis made Troyes the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE CUP Wed 4 Feb · 21:00
Troyes
HOME
RESULT
2 - 4
Lens
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
44%
Draw
18%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Troyes
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
60%
Lens
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
90%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
87%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Troyes 2W in last 3 at home
  • Lens 4W in last 5
  • Troyes strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Lens strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Troyes's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 63%