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Truro City 2–0 Merthyr

England FA Cup Qual. on 22 September 2026. Truro City won at home, 2–0. Our pre-match analysis made Merthyr the 39% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA CUP QUAL. Tue 22 Sep · 20:45
Truro City
HOME
RESULT
2 - 0
Merthyr
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
30%
Draw
31%
Away
39%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Truro City
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
47%
Merthyr
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Merthyr strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Both teams expected to find the net.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Truro City O2.5 20% last 15, Merthyr O2.5 53% last 15).
Confidence: 52%