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Tunisia 2–2 Botswana

Africa Cup of Nations Qual. on 28 September 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Tunisia the 59% favourite, so this one went against the model.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUAL. Mon 28 Sep · 21:00
Tunisia
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Botswana
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
59%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Tunisia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
67%
Botswana
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
17%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
17%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Tunisia 4W in last 5 at home
  • Tunisia 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Tunisia strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Tunisia's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Tunisia's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 65%