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Umea 1–3 Jarfalla

Sweden Division 1 - Norra on 28 June 2026. Jarfalla won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 45%, so this one went against the model.

SWEDEN DIVISION 1 - NORRA Sun 28 Jun · 16:00
Umea
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Jarfalla
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
37%
Draw
45%
Away
18%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Umea
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
33%
Jarfalla
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Both teams expected to find the net.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Umea O2.5 67% last 15, Jarfalla O2.5 60% last 15).
Confidence: 59%