Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz

Germany Bundesliga on 10 January 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Union Berlin the 55% favourite, so this one went against the model.

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA Sat 10 Jan · 15:30

Union Berlin

HOME

RESULT

2 - 2

Mainz

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

55%

Draw

19%

Away

26%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Union Berlin

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

40%

Mainz

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

33%

WIN%

20%

KEY SIGNALS

Union Berlin 3W in last 5
Union Berlin 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Mainz strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Union Berlin's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Union Berlin's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 74%

Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz

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