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USM Alger 4–2 Paradou

Algeria 1 on 22 May 2026. USM Alger won at home, 4–2. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 44%, so this one went against the model.

ALGERIA 1 Fri 22 May · 19:00
USM Alger
HOME
RESULT
4 - 2
Paradou
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
41%
Draw
44%
Away
15%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
USM Alger
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
47%
Paradou
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
13%
KEY SIGNALS
  • USM Alger 3W in last 4 at home
  • USM Alger strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
USM Alger's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 60%