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Varzim 0–1 Trofense

Portugal Liga 3 on 20 December 2025. Trofense won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Varzim the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL LIGA 3 Sat 20 Dec · 18:30
Varzim
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Trofense
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Varzim
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
27%
Trofense
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Varzim 2W in last 3 at home
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Varzim strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Trofense strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Varzim O2.5 47% last 15, Trofense O2.5 47% last 15).
Confidence: 55%