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Worksop 3–5 Merthyr

England National League North on 10 January 2026. Merthyr won away from home, 5–3. Our pre-match analysis made Worksop the 49% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH Sat 10 Jan · 16:00
Worksop
HOME
RESULT
3 - 5
Merthyr
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
49%
Draw
18%
Away
33%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Worksop
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
33%
Merthyr
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
73%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Merthyr 3W in last 5
  • Worksop strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Merthyr's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 78%