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Wrexham 2–2 Chelsea

England FA Cup on 7 March 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Wrexham the 40% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA CUP Sat 7 Mar · 18:45
Wrexham
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Chelsea
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Wrexham
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
67%
Chelsea
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Wrexham 3W in last 3 at home
  • Chelsea 2W in last 3 at away
  • Chelsea 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Wrexham's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Chelsea's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 67%