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Celta 1–3 Freiburg

Europa League on 16 April 2026. Freiburg won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Celta the 49% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA LEAGUE Thu 16 Apr · 18:45
Celta
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Freiburg
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
32%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Celta
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Freiburg
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Freiburg 2W in last 2 at away
  • Celta 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Freiburg 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Freiburg's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Freiburg's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 68%