Mainz 0–1 Freiburg

Germany Bundesliga on 12 April 2026. Freiburg won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Mainz the 49% favourite, so this one went against the model.

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA Sun 12 Apr · 19:30

Mainz

HOME

RESULT

0 - 1

Freiburg

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

49%

Draw

21%

Away

30%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Mainz

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

100%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

60%

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Mainz 3W in last 3 at home
Freiburg 3W in last 5
Freiburg 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Mainz's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Freiburg's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 72%

Mainz 0–1 Freiburg

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