Ceuta 1–4 Malaga

Spain La Liga 2 on 16 May 2026. Malaga won away from home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis made Ceuta the 35% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN LA LIGA 2 Sat 16 May · 16:15

Ceuta

HOME

RESULT

1 - 4

Malaga

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

35%

Draw

31%

Away

33%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Ceuta

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

33%

Malaga

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Malaga 3W in last 5
Malaga 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Ceuta strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Malaga's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Malaga's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 61%

Ceuta 1–4 Malaga

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