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Defensor Sporting 2–1 Cerro

Uruguay 1 on 4 August 2026. Defensor Sporting won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 43%, so this one went against the model.

URUGUAY 1 Tue 4 Aug · 00:00
Defensor Sporting
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Cerro
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
41%
Draw
43%
Away
17%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Defensor Sporting
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
20%
Cerro
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Cerro 3W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Cerro strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
Cerro's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.
Confidence: 51%