← Back to predictions

Derby County 1–1 Millwall

England Championship on 10 December 2025. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Derby County the 46% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Wed 10 Dec · 20:45
Derby County
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Millwall
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
47%
Millwall
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Millwall 3W in last 5
  • Derby County 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Millwall's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Derby County's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 61%